Category Rapports

Despite the success of demand response programs in retail electricity markets in reducing average consumption, the literature shows failure to reduce the variance of consumers’ responses. This paper aims at ...

In this work, we derive a probabilistic forecast of the solar irradiance during a day at a given location, using a stochastic differential equation (SDE for short) model. We propose ...

We study an islanded microgrid system designed to supply a small village with the power produced by photovoltaic panels, wind turbines and a diesel generator. A battery storage system device ...

In this article, we use the mean variance hedging criterion to value contracts in incomplete markets. Although the problem is well studied in a continuous and even discrete framework, very ...

Based on empirical evidence of fast mean-reverting spikes, we model electricity price processes as the sum of a continuous Itö semimartingale and a a mean-reverting compound Poisson process. In a first part, ...

Kernel density estimation and kernel regression are powerful but computationally expensive techniques: a direct evaluation of kernel density estimates at M evaluation points given N input sample points requires a ...

We extend a recently developed method to solve semi-linear PDEs to the case of a degenerated diffusion. Being a pure Monte Carlo method it does not suer from the so ...

Discrete time hedging produces a residual risk, namely, the tracking error. The major problem is to get valuation/hedging policies minimizing this error. We evaluate the risk between trading dates through ...

A new method based on nesting Monte Carlo is developed to solve highdimensional semi-linear PDEs. Convergence of the method is proved and its convergence rate studied. Results in high dimension ...

Corinne Chaton, Anna Creti, and Maria-Eugenia Sanin, Abstract In October 2015 the European Parliament has established a market stability reserve (MSR) in the Phase 4 of the EU-ETS, as part ...