Category Reports

René Aïd, Luciano Campi, Nicolas Langrené We develop a structural risk-neutral model for energy market modifying along several directions the approach introduced in [Aïd et al., 2009]. In particular a scarcity function is introduced to allow important deviations of the spot price from the marginal fuel price, producing price spikes. We focus on pricing and hedging electricity derivatives. The hedging instruments are forward contracts on fuels and electricity. The presence of production capacities Read more [...]

Moahamed Ben Abdelhamid, Chaker Aloui, Corinne Chaton Given the volatility of the prices of fossil fuels and of environmental constraints, the nuclear power plants can be the least expensive solution to satisfy the demand of electricity. In this paper, we present a dynamic modeling for an optimal operational planning by considering the possibility to switch from natural gas to nuclear power. A switching options approach is applied to address an optimal power generation strategy. We show that, when Read more [...]

Laure Durand-Viel This thesis is devoted to the analysis of commitment strategies in oligopolistic markets, with a particular focus on the European market for natural gas. The first chapter focuses on capacity investments in a bilateral relationship where the buyer- investor faces the threat of holdup. While some commitment is necessary to ensure investment, a too long commitment by the seller can lead to a lower investment level. The second chapter analyzes the strategic use of storage in a successive Read more [...]

Bruno Bouchard, Adrien Nguyen Huu We consider a class of production-investment models in discrete time with proportional transaction costs. For linear production functions, we study a natural extension of the no-arbitrage of the second kind condition introduced by M. Rasonyi [13]. We show that this condition implies the closedness of the set of attainable claims and is equivalent to the existence of a strictly consistent price system under which the evaluation of future production profits are strictly Read more [...]

Bruno Bouchard, Xavier Warin The aim of this paper is to discuss efficient algorithms for the pricing of American options by two recently proposed Monte-Carlo type methods, namely the Malliavian calculus and the regression based approaches. We explain how both technics can be exploded with improved complexity and effciency. We also discuss several technics for the estimation of the corresponding hedging strategies. Numerical tests and comparisons, including the quantization approach, are performed. Plus Read more [...]

Corinne Chaton, Laure Durand-Viel Real assets are usually valued by assuming a liquid spot market with competitive traders who buy or sell until arbitrage opportunities are exhausted; the value of a real asset is computed as the stream of profits resulting from such transactions. This method ignores market fundamentals by assuming that all the relevant information is included in the spot price. This paper analyses the bias resulting from such an approach when the market is imperfectly competitive. Read more [...]

René Aïd, François Barjon, Christine Vialas This paper proposes a market-based method to provide a selling price for long-term contract on electricity market. In market-based approaches, one searches to fulfil a given long-term commitment only by selling and buying available futures contracts on the market. The price of the contract is then given by the cost of the best available hedging strategy. Here, the hedging strategy is based on rolling futures of the longest maturity, i.e. successively Read more [...]

Gilles Chemla Adrian Pop Diana Pop We investigate the link between the regulation of control transactions and the institutional and corporate features of public companies, by analyzing the massive delisting activity in the Romanian capital market. The peculiar ownership reforms involving a large number of listed companies offer a unique opportunity to test Bebchuk and Roe’s (2000) theory of path dependence. Over time, the Romanian authorities have undertaken wide-ranging institutional reforms, Read more [...]

Laure Durand-Viel Bertrand Villeneuve This article analyzes the impact of incomplete contracts’ length on investment in a bilateral relationship. The seller has the power to set the contract terms whereas the buyer decides on the investment level, which acts as a cap on future demand. Two-part tariffs succeed at implementing the optimal investment and consumption even if commitment is limited, and the contract’s duration is irrelevant. Interestingly, this efficient solution is rendered possible Read more [...]

Corinne Chaton Marie-Laure Guillerminet In this paper, we study the impact of competition and environmental policy (feed-in tari¤s vs. the EU ETS) on investment, CO2 emissions and welfare in an electricity sector. For this purpose, we consider different market structures (private monopoly, planner that maximizes the social welfare, dyopoly) and two types of consumers (consumers depending on weather and the other ones). The demand specification is innovative and takes into account an incompressible Read more [...]